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Thread: China’s economy is on the verge of collapse?
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[quote=BOBERT,451374]BBC News Business 5 December 2011 Last updated at 01:17 GMT China warns of 'severe challenges' to exports to West Containers at the port of Tianjin Sales to Europe and the US comprise just under 40% of China's total exports, but have been falling China faces "severe challenges" to its exports due to economic difficulties in key Western markets, the country's commerce ministry has warned. Data due to be released on Saturday will show a sharp slowdown in export growth in November, the ministry said. Sales to Europe and the US, which comprise about 40% of total exports, were not expected to recover next year. The ministry said China would instead target exports to developing markets in Asia and Latin America. Weaker manufacturing China will also try to boost its imports from the West, the ministry said, in order to help support their economies and to balance out China's trade surplus. Exports to the European Union fell 9% in October versus a year ago, and exports to the US fell 5%. The country's total exports, however, were still up 15.9%, thanks in part to booming demand from Latin America. But it was the weakest annual growth rate in two years, and exports were sharply down compared with a month earlier. Next year there won't be fundamental improvement in Europe or the United States” Wang Shouwen Chinese Foreign Trade Director "There is a lot of concern in Beijing about weakening demand from the developed world, especially from Europe," said Michael Pettis, economics professor at Peking University. "China is still overly reliant on domestic investment and net exports to generate growth," he added, noting that Beijing was also recognising that further debt-fuelled growth in domestic investment was storing up problems for the economy and the country's banks. The poor performance was mirrored by a recent manufacturing survey, which indicated that the sector contracted in November for the first time since the 2008-09 Western recession. The commerce ministry also blamed rising wages in China for hurting its trade competitiveness. 'Not realistic' "Next year, I think that we will face severe challenges in our exports and imports," said Foreign Trade Director Wang Shouwen. "There won't be fundamental improvement in Europe or the United States, and costs at home will stay as high as this year, so the foreign trade situation will be severe next year. "However, some developing and emerging economies are enjoying sound economic performances, so we will attach more importance to exports to these countries." But China's plan to focus on developing markets is not realistic, according to Professor Pettis. "Europe, the US and Japan account for more than two-thirds of the rest of the world's consumption, and it is hard to imagine that the developing world can replace them over the next several years. [/quote]
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