New Reply

Post a Reply

Thread: The China Fantasy

Title: (100 characters at most)

Content: ( 3,000 characters at most, please )

You can add emoticons below to your post by clicking them.

[quote=LEONARDO,256175]Right, James Mann has a tunnel vision.

"He poses a 'Third Scenario', in which China's economy grows by leaps and bounds but the political issues he is concerned with remain unchanged."

The Third Scenario Mann proposed implies that despite of the skyrocketing economic growth, China won't make any tangible progress in politics or democracy. His further undertone is that China will inevitably become the most threatening rivals(enemies) for the USA. Mann's Third Scenario is another mutation of "China Threat Theory".

Admittedly, as an assumption, Mann's "Third Scenario" give no cause for criticism. However, there is something wrong with Mann's logic. Firstly, Mann only focuses on the democracy. He thinks that as long as a country has a democratic system, it will not be an enemy for America. Here is the question: Palestine wants a more democratic government. The referendum (a form of democracy) would probably select a government that will be more hostile  than PLO (Palestine Liberation Organization) towards American Government.Secondly, he shows little concerns for the changes of particulars except politics. Well, the changes in particulars are the stuffs that a pressman and China hands must be quite aware of.

This book reminds me of a similar book published several years ago. The book " The Coming Collapse of China" was scribbled by Gordon Chang. Although Gordon Chang's conclusion was overthrown by the subsequent prosperous prospect of China, at least Gordon had  some wits and adopted some facts to justify his theory;whereas Mann has less ten percent of Mann's wit.[/quote]

characters left

Name:

Get a new code