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International Power Ranking
Nov 28, 2007 03:29
  • YVONNE
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I have just read a very interesting classification of international powers. The author put forward a new concept of "Hyper Power" and he says that he divides the world into 5 categories that are more objectively compared with one another.

The following is the classification:

Hyperpower

Global conventional ground force projection, hegemonic power in at least 1 of these 5 broad areas: Cultural-Economic/Industrial-Energy-Military-Political, and all super power categories.

USA*Dominant in 4 hegemonic areas: Cultural, Economic/Industry, Military, and Political.

Nov 28, 2007 03:30
#1  
  • YVONNE
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Superpower(having all of the following)

1 trillion USD economy (actual) not PPP
100,000,000 population base or greater.
Credible space program.
Blue water capable navy.
Nuclear weapons.
P5 seat on the UN Security Council.
Modern air force and aerospace industry.

Russia Has near hegemonic energy influence over Europe.
China Rapidly becoming an non-military industrial hegemon.
India
EU
India and the EU are emerging/potential Superpowers with potential hegemonic traits like the Euro (Economic) and Bollywood(culture).
Nov 28, 2007 03:31
#2  
  • YVONNE
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Great Powers (most of the above list- only missing 1-2 categories)

England (Population)* Eventually faces loss of P5 seat to EU if the EU federalizes.
France (Population)*Eventually faces loss of P5 seat to EU if the EU federalizes.
Japan (Nukes, P5 Seat)
India (P5 seat)* India is a P5 contender.
Brazil (Nukes, P5 seat)* Brazil is a P5 contender.

Nov 28, 2007 03:32
#3  
  • YVONNE
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Middle Powers (missing 3-6)

Iran (Nukes, Blue Water Navy, Population, Economy, P5 Seat)
Turkey (Nukes, Blue Water Navy, Population, Economy, P5 seat, Space program)
Israel (Blue Water Navy, Population, Economy, -P5 Seat)
Pakistan (Blue Water Navy, Economy, P5 Seat)
Egypt (Nukes, Population, P5 Seat, Blue Water Navy, Economy, Space program)
Taiwan (Nukes, P5 Seat, Population, Space program, Economy)
Mexico (Space program, Aerospace Industry, Nukes, Blue Water Navy, P5 seat)
Spain (P5 Seat, Nukes, Population)
South Korea (P5 Seat, Nukes, Population)
Germany (Nukes, P5 Seat, Population)
Nov 28, 2007 03:33
#4  
  • YVONNE
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Lesser Powers (are missing 7 or more of the categories)

South Africa *destroyed existing nuclear weapons.

Categories

Blue Water Capable Navy, having a naval force capable of acting in a decisive manner far from the nations own shores (1000Km plus) with frigate sized or larger warships.

Credible Space Program, having launched at least one sophisticated commercial, scientific, or military satellite and having a dedicated space agency.

Global Ground Force Projection, being able to sustain 1/4 million military personnel (collective) outside the nations border for a significant period of time measured in years.

Hegemonic Power, being the single most import actor in a given area, one that the rest of the world generally conforms to (soft power) or fears/aligns with (hard power).


Modern Air force and Aerospace Industry, having at least 4th generation fighters and the ability to produce at least some sort of jet powered or rotary winged aircraft.

Nuclear Weapons, having a credible deterrent force of weaponized nuclear devices and delivery systems.

Trillion Dollar Economy, having a real GDP of at least 1 trillion US dollars, not measured in PPP. This is likely to change to the Euro at some point as that currency continues its ascendant rise.

P5 Seat, having a seat on the permanent UN Security Council.
Nov 28, 2007 03:34
#5  
  • YVONNE
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The author's Notes

Nations are not judged by areas where they still lag behind (down points) but by up points. Thus things like access to health care, literacy, homelessness etc are not factors in the rankings. Only those things that can be objectively compared to other states and that are in or can be considered to be in direct competition to other states are considered.
Nov 28, 2007 04:42
#6  
  • APAULT
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That's a lot to take in in one go, but my initial reaction is that it is an interesting attempt to be objective but it doesn't quite work out. It underrates the EU as a joint force. Sure the members have trouble creating common policy and acting upon it but they will act as one if threatened. It is the equal of the US.

Second, is that Taiwan is rated as a 'major power'. Setting aside the 'Taiwan Issue', (because for the time being it has some degree of independent action ......), I really do not see Taiwan as very powerful. It has no significant friends.
Nov 28, 2007 12:16
#7  
  • GRIZ326
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Paul, the EU has not yet proven that it will act together in crisis. Perhaps that is why the writer "under-rated" the EU. Or perhaps the EU was under-rated because of the disunity caused by the many languages within the EU.

To consider the EU the equal of the US without the EU ever having its mettle tested is pretty naive.

Remember, the EU is still in an embryonic state. It was only in 1999 that the EU finally agreed to a common currency. It will be another 50 years before the EU is truly unified.
Nov 28, 2007 19:40
#8  
  • LEONARDO
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Paul,

Quote:
"It underrates the EU as a joint force. Sure the members have trouble creating common policy and acting upon it but they will act as one if threatened. It is the equal of the US."
In fact, the author didn't underestimate EU. Undoubtedly, EU is a great rising power and has played an important role in international affairs. However, in the near future, the power of EU can still match the USA. Especially, its military power is still in doubt. As Griz326 has said, "the EU has not yet proven that it will act together in crisis."

Actually, the author has noticed that EU is an emerging superpower, but EU can be equal of US is still questionable. This is the author's words in Yvonne's thread:
"India and the EU are emerging/potential Superpowers with potential hegemonic traits like the Euro (Economic) and Bollywood(culture)."
Dec 3, 2007 03:26
#9  
GUESTGUN "Hyperpower"

Very interesting classification. I think EU should be put in the same level with the USA. In military, EU is establishing a fast reaction force, which will takle the place of NATO.
Dec 6, 2007 15:17
#10  
EU = Hyperpower... Hyperbole!
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