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|Can humans predict the earthquakes?|
|Jun 11, 2008 04:04|
|Last weekend, I watched a TV programme which was about the earthquakes. In the programme, two seismologists have been invited. One insists that the earthquakes can't be predicted but the other hold the converse opinion---the earthquake can be predicted. Haicheng earthquake is an good example. |
On February 4th in 1975, 7.3 magnitude earthquake happened in Haicheng. Due to the precise prediction, only about 1000 people died. If it was not predicted, at least 100000 poeple would have died. However, the Tangshan earthquake in 1976 wasn't predicted. As a result, more than 240000 people died. This time, Wenchuan earthquake killed about 70000 people.
How do you view this issue? Can humans predict the earthquake?
|Jun 11, 2008 10:47|
|Can humans predict the weather? IMO, not very well in most places. One of the reasons that I've heard earthquake forecasting is not common, is that incorrect predictions would discredit the forecasts. |
Perhaps some day the science will become precise enough.
|Jun 11, 2008 20:44|
|Probably will when we start to have bionic ears that can hear rumblings happening from the middle of the earth. The animals are more in touch with the earth that's why they react long before we even experience the earthquake. It seems that they can sense any little change around them that we usually take for granted. I notice the same character in my cats, too.|
|Jun 11, 2008 21:28|
|Why did people predict Haicheng earthquake successfully? According to the rule that these seismologists found, the small tremors usually happen before the great earthquake. It is said that small tremors had happened many times before Haicheng earthquake. Finally, they predicted the great earthquake would happen in Haicheng. However, there weren't obvious small tremors before Tangshan earthquake. Then the tragedy happened. |
The earthquake prediction is really hard. You see, so many earthquakes have happened in China and only one was predicted successfully. It has proved that the earthquake prediction is still a difficulty for the scientists.
|Jun 16, 2008 22:24|
|"Can humans predict the earthquake?"|
No. Who can predict the earthquake? The animals. Some resources say that the pigs will get out of the pig pen and the dogs and the cats will bark loudly.
|Mar 12, 2011 18:00|
|GUESTFRANK||There is some study into harmonics. Apparently as rock is being compressed, it makes a sound which is inaudible to humans. This wavelength can be read and somewhat measured. Would explain why animals act weird.|
|Aug 21, 2011 20:38|
|Is it true or just the coincidence, GUEST54831 and GUESTSTEVE?|
If I was the president, I would recruit all of you to build a team like X-men. Your special ability can save a lot of people.
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